Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 363.307068 411.610927 465.004552 528.583418 602.462062 685.880116 787.589747
2025-12-28 299.914037 365.654600 444.800072 547.870947 679.673002 844.071768 1067.008274
2026-01-04 267.865579 342.612464 437.817323 569.515014 749.396595 990.053126 1342.448565
2026-01-11 238.384036 316.641778 420.880603 572.265516 790.504814 1100.027435 1583.813635
2026-01-18 211.378798 289.577526 397.644058 561.079879 807.669962 1175.312198 1783.499641
2026-01-25 189.846081 267.142422 377.448157 550.339128 822.002459 1245.699651 1984.026136
2026-02-01 178.626383 257.973478 374.806628 564.484141 874.804970 1381.253000 2311.890935
2026-02-08 165.065396 243.760904 362.801747 562.063117 899.824316 1473.697189 2579.817655
2026-02-15 152.603049 229.928195 349.784971 556.085098 917.367814 1554.601880 2839.308818
2026-02-22 143.745452 220.846063 343.230554 559.729219 951.313463 1668.313144 3181.101011
2026-03-01 133.462518 208.542969 330.212397 550.673147 960.957530 1737.657720 3445.013064
2026-03-08 125.229373 198.891611 320.675013 546.555791 978.842276 1824.606336 3761.577535
2026-03-15 114.528340 184.494763 302.207470 525.064988 962.244443 1843.088635 3936.326579
2026-03-22 111.275054 182.532052 305.131946 543.468688 1026.280997 2037.263900 4560.380293
2026-03-29 108.722474 181.521710 309.549291 565.012396 1099.297105 2262.114556 5312.278916
2026-04-05 103.686359 175.686448 304.655947 567.724134 1133.046195 2404.874331 5888.437652
2026-04-12 97.263222 166.864458 293.487176 556.642934 1135.426767 2475.271004 6286.055911
2026-04-19 91.457236 158.768041 283.048051 546.000210 1137.402772 2544.918281 6698.706015
2026-04-26 89.083421 156.884246 284.346615 560.015789 1197.347663 2767.341311 7620.745251
2026-05-03 84.995448 151.462578 278.288801 557.616957 1218.429171 2894.114657 8282.848541
2026-05-10 80.834877 145.623712 270.956338 551.693678 1230.244752 2998.410581 8901.753546
2026-05-17 77.966952 142.107968 268.035463 555.304441 1266.047488 3174.214723 9815.100588
2026-05-24 74.049639 136.272216 259.932355 546.331204 1268.843509 3257.802590 10427.845209